Kayla Harrison vs Rin Nakai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-1-0Record27-2-1
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'1"
66″Reach36,0"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamShooto Dojo Shikoku
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1793
If they lose-17→ 1761
If they win+12→ 1777
If they lose-12→ 1753
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kayla HarrisonRin Nakai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kayla Harrison72%
Rin Nakai 28%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Kayla Harrison a 72% favorite over Rin Nakai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1778 vs 1765), separated by just 13 points.
Kayla Harrison enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Rin Nakai enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Kayla Harrison finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Rin Nakai 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.