Combat Edge Intelligence

Kaynan Kruschewsky vs Kurt Holobaugh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record21-10-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
43,5"Reach70"
165 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ricardo Pereira AcademyTeamGracie United

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kaynan KruschewskyNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Kurt HolobaughNow 1657
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.67
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
51%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.30
47%
Strike defense
50%
2.74
Takedown avg.
0.66
100%
Takedown accuracy
33%
75%
Takedown defense
39%
2.06
Submission avg.
0.79

Trajectory

Kaynan KruschewskyKurt Holobaugh
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
7 (33%)
9 (60%)
Submission
10 (48%)
2 (13%)
Decision
4 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Kaynan Kruschewsky59%
Kurt Holobaugh 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kaynan Kruschewsky a 59% favorite over Kurt Holobaugh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1657), separated by just 0 points.

Kaynan Kruschewsky enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kurt Holobaugh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kaynan Kruschewsky finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Kurt Holobaugh 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.