Combat Edge Intelligence

Kaynan Kruschewsky vs Matheus Camilo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
43,5"Reach 69"
165 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ricardo Pereira AcademyTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kaynan KruschewskyNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Matheus CamiloNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.67
Sig. strikes / min
2.19
51%
Strike accuracy
43%
5.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.25
47%
Strike defense
64%
2.74
Takedown avg.
4.43
100%
Takedown accuracy
54%
75%
Takedown defense
0%
2.06
Submission avg.
0.63

Trajectory

Kaynan KruschewskyMatheus Camilo
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
9 (60%)
Submission
2 (18%)
2 (13%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Camilo88%
Kaynan Kruschewsky 12%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Camilo a 88% favorite over Kaynan Kruschewsky in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kaynan Kruschewsky's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1657), separated by just 0 points.

Kaynan Kruschewsky enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matheus Camilo enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kaynan Kruschewsky finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Camilo 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.