Combat Edge Intelligence

Kazuhiro Hamanaka vs Regan Upshaw

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Regan Upshaw
us

Regan Upshaw

“The Eternal”

0-1-0Light HeavyweightONE

1478Average

Tale of the tape

5-7-1Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'7"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Laughter7TeamHavoc MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kazuhiro HamanakaNow 1477
If they win+16→ 1493
If they lose-16→ 1461
Regan UpshawNow 1478
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kazuhiro HamanakaRegan Upshaw
15002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Regan Upshaw70%
Kazuhiro Hamanaka 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 70% favorite over Kazuhiro Hamanaka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1477 vs 1478), separated by just 1 points.

Kazuhiro Hamanaka finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.