Combat Edge Intelligence

Kazuki Tokudome vs Oscar Ownsworth

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-12-1Record10-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
156 lbsWeight150 lbs
Paraestra HachiojiTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kazuki TokudomeNow 1597
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585
Oscar OwnsworthNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.26
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
2
Takedown avg.
TBD
39%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
79%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kazuki TokudomeOscar Ownsworth
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
3 (15%)
Submission
3 (30%)
7 (35%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Oscar Ownsworth61%
Kazuki Tokudome 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Oscar Ownsworth a 61% favorite over Kazuki Tokudome in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.

Oscar Ownsworth enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kazuki Tokudome finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Oscar Ownsworth 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.