Kazushi Sakuraba vs Phil Rowe
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-17-1Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach80"
167 lbsWeight170 lbs
Laughter7TeamFusion X-Cel Performance
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kazushi SakurabaPhil Rowe
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil Rowe72%
Kazushi Sakuraba 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil Rowe a 72% favorite over Kazushi Sakuraba in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kazushi Sakuraba's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.
Kazushi Sakuraba enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Phil Rowe enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kazushi Sakuraba finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Phil Rowe 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.