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Combat Edge Intelligence

Keenan Raymond vs Oseas Cruz Furtado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-10-0Record5-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

Keenan Raymond is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Oseas Cruz Furtado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Keenan RaymondNow 1370
If they win+14→ 1384
If they lose-18→ 1352
Oseas Cruz FurtadoNow 1322
If they win+27→ 1349
If they lose-21→ 1301

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Keenan RaymondOseas Cruz Furtado
13501400145020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
1 (33%)
Submission
2 (40%)
1 (33%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Keenan Raymond58%
Oseas Cruz Furtado 42%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Keenan Raymond a 58% favorite over Oseas Cruz Furtado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Keenan Raymond holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1370 to 1322, a 48-point edge.

Keenan Raymond enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Oseas Cruz Furtado enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Keenan Raymond finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Oseas Cruz Furtado 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.