Kegan Gennrich vs Reza Madadi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record14-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'11"
75"Reach72,0"
171 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fox Valley Grappling ClubTeamAllstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kegan GennrichReza Madadi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kegan Gennrich70%
Reza Madadi 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kegan Gennrich a 70% favorite over Reza Madadi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1645), separated by just 2 points.
Kegan Gennrich enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Reza Madadi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kegan Gennrich finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Reza Madadi 77%.
Kegan Gennrich carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.