Combat Edge Intelligence

Keigo Kunihara vs Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record16-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach42,5"
228 lbsWeight253 lbs
TeamTata Fight Team· 1516 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keigo KuniharaNow 1573
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraNow 1569
If they win+12→ 1581
If they lose-12→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1483 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.17
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
10%
Strike accuracy
44%
1.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
57%
Strike defense
47%
4.97
Takedown avg.
3.09
40%
Takedown accuracy
37%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
2.49
Submission avg.
1.03

Trajectory

Keigo KuniharaLuis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira
1500155016002004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
1 (33%)
Submission
8 (50%)
1 (33%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Keigo Kunihara62%
Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Keigo Kunihara a 62% favorite over Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1569), separated by just 4 points.

Keigo Kunihara enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Keigo Kunihara finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.