Combat Edge Intelligence

Keigo Kunihara vs Michal Martínek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record13-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach80"
228 lbsWeight248 lbs
TBDTeamReinders MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keigo KuniharaNow 1573
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
Michal MartínekNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1483 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.17
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
10%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
4.97
Takedown avg.
TBD
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.49
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Keigo KuniharaMichal Martínek
15001550160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
1 (33%)
Submission
1 (8%)
1 (33%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Keigo Kunihara53%
Michal Martínek 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Keigo Kunihara a 53% favorite over Michal Martínek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1572), separated by just 1 points.

Keigo Kunihara enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Keigo Kunihara finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Michal Martínek 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.