Keiichiro Nakamura vs Mirsad Bektić
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"Reach70"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
EXFIGHTTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1701
If they lose-24→ 1653
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Keiichiro NakamuraMirsad Bektić
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mirsad Bektić52%
Keiichiro Nakamura 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mirsad Bektić a 52% favorite over Keiichiro Nakamura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Keiichiro Nakamura's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1677), separated by just 0 points.
Keiichiro Nakamura enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Mirsad Bektić enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Keiichiro Nakamura finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mirsad Bektić 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.