Combat Edge Intelligence

Keiichiro Yamamiya vs Leandro Camargo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

45-35-10Record7-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight161 lbs
GrabakaTeamStrikers MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keiichiro YamamiyaNow 1491
If they win+12→ 1503
If they lose-12→ 1479
Leandro CamargoNow 1489
If they win+16→ 1505
If they lose-16→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Keiichiro YamamiyaLeandro Camargo
15001550160020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (24%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
3 (7%)
Submission
6 (86%)
31 (69%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Leandro Camargo83%
Keiichiro Yamamiya 17%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Camargo a 83% favorite over Keiichiro Yamamiya in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Keiichiro Yamamiya's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1491 vs 1489), separated by just 2 points.

Keiichiro Yamamiya enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Leandro Camargo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Keiichiro Yamamiya finishes 31% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Camargo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.