Combat Edge Intelligence

Keisuke Sasu vs Kyle Bochniak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-1Record11-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach38,5"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Master JapanTeamBroadway Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keisuke SasuNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Kyle BochniakNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.76
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
49%
Strike accuracy
31%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.11
48%
Strike defense
58%
3.76
Takedown avg.
1.14
40%
Takedown accuracy
15%
62%
Takedown defense
63%
1.88
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Keisuke SasuKyle Bochniak
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
4 (29%)
Submission
2 (18%)
5 (36%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Keisuke Sasu60%
Kyle Bochniak 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Keisuke Sasu a 60% favorite over Kyle Bochniak in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Keisuke Sasu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kyle Bochniak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Keisuke Sasu finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Bochniak 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.