Keisuke Sasu vs Paul Capaldo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-1Record7-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Master JapanTeamNick Catone MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
If they win+24→ 1639
If they lose-24→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Keisuke SasuPaul Capaldo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keisuke Sasu66%
Paul Capaldo 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Keisuke Sasu a 66% favorite over Paul Capaldo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1615), separated by just 0 points.
Keisuke Sasu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Keisuke Sasu finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Paul Capaldo 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.