Combat Edge Intelligence

Keisuke Sasu vs Yaotzin Meza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-1Record23-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach39,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Master JapanTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keisuke SasuNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Yaotzin MezaNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.76
Sig. strikes / min
1.43
49%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.62
48%
Strike defense
65%
3.76
Takedown avg.
1.06
40%
Takedown accuracy
20%
62%
Takedown defense
18%
1.88
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Keisuke SasuYaotzin Meza
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
4 (29%)
Submission
9 (39%)
5 (36%)
Decision
9 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Keisuke Sasu60%
Yaotzin Meza 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Keisuke Sasu a 60% favorite over Yaotzin Meza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Keisuke Sasu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Keisuke Sasu finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Yaotzin Meza 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.