Keita Nakamura vs Levan Chokheli
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-12-2Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
73,0"Reach73"
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
United Gym TokyoTeamPhoenix Sportakademie Kassel
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Keita NakamuraLevan Chokheli
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keita Nakamura51%
Levan Chokheli 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Keita Nakamura a 51% favorite over Levan Chokheli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1691), separated by just 1 points.
Levan Chokheli enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Keita Nakamura finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Levan Chokheli 80%.
Keita Nakamura and Levan Chokheli share 1 common opponent: Lorenz Larkin.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.