Combat Edge Intelligence

Keita Nakamura vs Salim Touahri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

36-12-2Record11-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73,0"Reach41,0"
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
United Gym TokyoTeamGrappling Krakow

What's at stake

Keita Nakamura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Salim Touahri carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Keita NakamuraNow 1693
If they win+10→ 1703
If they lose-14→ 1679
Salim TouahriNow 1632
If they win+19→ 1651
If they lose-13→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.23
Sig. strikes / min
2.60
37%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
59%
Strike defense
58%
1.65
Takedown avg.
0
49%
Takedown accuracy
0%
64%
Takedown defense
83%
0.35
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Keita NakamuraSalim Touahri
165017002024

Win method breakdown

9 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
16 (44%)
Submission
2 (18%)
11 (31%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Keita Nakamura60%
Salim Touahri 40%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Keita Nakamura a 60% favorite over Salim Touahri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Keita Nakamura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1632, a 61-point edge.

Keita Nakamura finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Salim Touahri 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.