Keith Berish vs Robert Drysdale
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record7-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
73,5"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Black & Blue MMATeamDrysdale Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Robert Drysdale is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +16 while a loss costs more — Keith Berish carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+32→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1566
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-32→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Keith BerishRobert Drysdale
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robert Drysdale75%
Keith Berish 25%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Robert Drysdale a 75% favorite over Keith Berish in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Robert Drysdale holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1700 to 1582, a 118-point edge.
Keith Berish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Robert Drysdale enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Keith Berish finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Robert Drysdale 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.