Keith Hackney vs Royce Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record15-2-3
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach--
200 lbsWeight176 lbs
TeamGracie Humaita
What's at stake
Royce Gracie is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Keith Hackney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+36→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1523
If they win+8→ 1733
If they lose-24→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Keith HackneyRoyce Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Royce Gracie80%
Keith Hackney 20%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Royce Gracie a 80% favorite over Keith Hackney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Royce Gracie holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1535, a 190-point edge.
Royce Gracie enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Royce Gracie 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.