Keith Jardine vs Matt Hamill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-2Record13-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamIndependent
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1582
If they lose-17→ 1550
If they win+17→ 1571
If they lose-15→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Keith JardineMatt Hamill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keith Jardine54%
Matt Hamill 46%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Keith Jardine a 54% favorite over Matt Hamill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1554), separated by just 13 points.
Keith Jardine enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Hamill enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Keith Jardine finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Matt Hamill 58%.
Keith Jardine and Matt Hamill share 2 common opponents: Thiago Silva and Quinton Jackson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.