Keith Jardine vs Mike Whitehead
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-11-2Record27-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight261 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Mike Whitehead is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Keith Jardine carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1592
If they lose-10→ 1560
If they win+8→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Keith JardineMike Whitehead
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Whitehead78%
Keith Jardine 22%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Whitehead a 78% favorite over Keith Jardine in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Mike Whitehead holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1570, a 133-point edge.
Keith Jardine enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Keith Jardine finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Mike Whitehead 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.