Keith Jardine vs Quinton Jackson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-2Record38-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach73"
185 lbsWeight265 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamWolfslair Academy
What's at stake
Quinton Jackson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Keith Jardine carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1593
If they lose-9→ 1561
If they win+7→ 1738
If they lose-17→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Keith JardineQuinton Jackson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Quinton Jackson83%
Keith Jardine 17%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Quinton Jackson a 83% favorite over Keith Jardine in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Quinton Jackson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1570, a 161-point edge.
Keith Jardine enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Keith Jardine finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Quinton Jackson 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.