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Combat Edge Intelligence

Keith Jardine vs Wanderlei Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Keith Jardine
us

Keith Jardine

“The Dean of Mean”

17-11-2MiddleweightSF

1567Solid

Tale of the tape

17-11-2Record35-14-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamWand Fight Team

What's at stake

Wanderlei Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Keith Jardine carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Keith JardineNow 1567
If they win+24→ 1591
If they lose-8→ 1559
Wanderlei SilvaNow 1751
If they win+6→ 1757
If they lose-18→ 1733

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.04
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
37%
Strike accuracy
32%
4.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.65
59%
Strike defense
60%
0.34
Takedown avg.
0.32
33%
Takedown accuracy
50%
63%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Keith JardineWanderlei Silva
15501600165017001750201020112012201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

8 (47%)
KO/TKO
27 (77%)
2 (12%)
Submission
1 (3%)
7 (41%)
Decision
7 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Wanderlei Silva77%
Keith Jardine 23%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Wanderlei Silva a 77% favorite over Keith Jardine in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Wanderlei Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1567, a 184-point edge.

Keith Jardine enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Wanderlei Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Keith Jardine finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Wanderlei Silva 80%.

Keith Jardine and Wanderlei Silva share 1 common opponent: Quinton Jackson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2009
Quinton Jackson
LossTKO (Punches) · 2018
WinKO/TKO · 2008