Keith Mielke vs Ondřej Raška
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-5-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TeamJetsaam Gym Brno· 1619 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Ondřej Raška is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Keith Mielke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1438
If they lose-20→ 1390
If they win+13→ 1482
If they lose-19→ 1450
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Keith MielkeOndřej Raška
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ondřej Raška59%
Keith Mielke 41%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 59% favorite over Keith Mielke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Ondřej Raška holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1469 to 1410, a 59-point edge.
Keith Mielke enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ondřej Raška 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.