Keith Mielke vs Ryan Parker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-5-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamTeam XCWT MMA
What's at stake
Ryan Parker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Keith Mielke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1439
If they lose-19→ 1391
If they win+12→ 1502
If they lose-20→ 1470
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Keith MielkeRyan Parker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Parker70%
Keith Mielke 30%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Parker a 70% favorite over Keith Mielke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Ryan Parker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1490 to 1410, a 80-point edge.
Keith Mielke enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ryan Parker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Parker 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.