Keith Rockel vs Wes Schultz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-1Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team EliteTeamPura Vida BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Keith RockelWes Schultz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wes Schultz60%
Keith Rockel 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Wes Schultz a 60% favorite over Keith Rockel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1603), separated by just 2 points.
Keith Rockel enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Keith Rockel finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Wes Schultz 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.