Combat Edge Intelligence

Keith Rockel vs Yi Sak Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-1Record8-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team EliteTeamKorean Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keith RockelNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Yi Sak LeeNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.13
Sig. strikes / min
0
73%
Strike accuracy
TBD
0.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
67%
Strike defense
TBD
4.63
Takedown avg.
TBD
75%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
4.63
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Keith RockelYi Sak Lee
1600165020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
6 (50%)
Submission
3 (38%)
2 (17%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Yi Sak Lee60%
Keith Rockel 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Yi Sak Lee a 60% favorite over Keith Rockel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1605), separated by just 4 points.

Keith Rockel enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Keith Rockel finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Yi Sak Lee 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.