Keith Wisniewski vs T.J. Schaefer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-15-1Record4-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Keith WisniewskiT.J. Schaefer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
T.J. Schaefer55%
Keith Wisniewski 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes T.J. Schaefer a 55% favorite over Keith Wisniewski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Keith Wisniewski's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1606), separated by just 0 points.
Keith Wisniewski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
T.J. Schaefer enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Keith Wisniewski finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, T.J. Schaefer 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.