Keito Oyama vs Noeru Narita
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-8-0Record4-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'1"
TBDReachTBD
112 lbsWeight108 lbs
Freelance· 1578 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamDELiGHTWORKS
What's at stake
Noeru Narita is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Keito Oyama carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1547
If they lose-15→ 1515
If they win+22→ 1583
If they lose-26→ 1535
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Keito OyamaNoeru Narita
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Noeru Narita66%
Keito Oyama 34%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Noeru Narita a 66% favorite over Keito Oyama in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Noeru Narita holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1561 to 1530, a 31-point edge.
Noeru Narita enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Keito Oyama finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Noeru Narita 75%.
Keito Oyama and Noeru Narita share 2 common opponents: Bo Mi Lee and Moeri Suda.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
WinSubmission (Guillotine Choke) · 2026