Keito Yamakita vs Steve Erceg
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-0Record14-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'1"Height5'8"
65"Reach 68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Reversal Gym Shinjuku Me, We· avg 1636 EloTeamWilkes Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Keito YamakitaSteve Erceg
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Keito Yamakita and Steve Erceg within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1687), separated by just 1 points.
Keito Yamakita enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Keito Yamakita finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Steve Erceg 57%.
Steve Erceg carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.