Combat Edge Intelligence

Kelly Faszholz vs Ketlen Vieira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record16-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
40,0"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nor-Cal Fighting AllianceTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Ketlen Vieira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Kelly Faszholz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kelly FaszholzNow 1542
If they win+32→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1526
Ketlen VieiraNow 1664
If they win+11→ 1675
If they lose-21→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.01
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
48%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
53%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
1.31
0%
Takedown accuracy
17%
44%
Takedown defense
90%
0
Submission avg.
0.52

Trajectory

Kelly FaszholzKetlen Vieira
150015501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
3 (75%)
Submission
4 (25%)
1 (25%)
Decision
10 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Ketlen Vieira84%
Kelly Faszholz 16%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Vieira a 84% favorite over Kelly Faszholz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Ketlen Vieira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1542, a 122-point edge.

Kelly Faszholz finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ketlen Vieira 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.