Combat Edge Intelligence

Kelly Faszholz vs Lauren Murphy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record16-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'7"
40,0"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Nor-Cal Fighting AllianceTeamGracie Barra Katy

What's at stake

Lauren Murphy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Kelly Faszholz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kelly FaszholzNow 1542
If they win+31→ 1573
If they lose-17→ 1525
Lauren MurphyNow 1652
If they win+11→ 1663
If they lose-21→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.01
Sig. strikes / min
4.05
48%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.25
53%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
1.03
0%
Takedown accuracy
25%
44%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

Kelly FaszholzLauren Murphy
150015501600165017002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
3 (75%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (25%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Lauren Murphy66%
Kelly Faszholz 34%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Lauren Murphy a 66% favorite over Kelly Faszholz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Lauren Murphy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1542, a 110-point edge.

Lauren Murphy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kelly Faszholz finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Lauren Murphy 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.