Combat Edge Intelligence

Kelly McGill-Velasco vs Priscila Cachoeira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record13-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach65"
136 lbsWeight134 lbs
Last Stand Fight TeamTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Priscila Cachoeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kelly McGill-Velasco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kelly McGill-VelascoNow 1500
If they win+27→ 1527
If they lose-21→ 1479
Priscila CachoeiraNow 1544
If they win+14→ 1558
If they lose-18→ 1526

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
4.43
35%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.60
48%
Strike defense
46%
0
Takedown avg.
0.25
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
100%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kelly McGill-VelascoPriscila Cachoeira
150015501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Priscila Cachoeira52%
Kelly McGill-Velasco 48%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Priscila Cachoeira a 52% favorite over Kelly McGill-Velasco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Priscila Cachoeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1544 to 1500, a 44-point edge.

Kelly McGill-Velasco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Priscila Cachoeira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Priscila Cachoeira 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.