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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kelvin Martinez vs Mason Carzino-Hartshorn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record7-2-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'4"
-Reach-
125 lbsWeight136 lbs
TeamTeam Black

What's at stake

Mason Carzino-Hartshorn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Kelvin Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kelvin MartinezNow 1567
If they win+26→ 1593
If they lose-22→ 1545
Mason Carzino-HartshornNow 1596
If they win+22→ 1618
If they lose-26→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kelvin MartinezMason Carzino-Hartshorn
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (29%)
2 (40%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Mason Carzino-Hartshorn52%
Kelvin Martinez 48%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Mason Carzino-Hartshorn a 52% favorite over Kelvin Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Mason Carzino-Hartshorn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1596 to 1567, a 29-point edge.

Kelvin Martinez enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Kelvin Martinez finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mason Carzino-Hartshorn 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.