Ken Shamrock vs Royce Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-17-2Record15-2-3
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
72"Reach--
212 lbsWeight176 lbs
Lion's DenTeamGracie Humaita
What's at stake
Royce Gracie is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ken Shamrock carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-8→ 1608
If they win+11→ 1736
If they lose-21→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ken ShamrockRoyce Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Royce Gracie57%
Ken Shamrock 43%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Royce Gracie a 57% favorite over Ken Shamrock in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Royce Gracie holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1616, a 109-point edge.
Ken Shamrock enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Royce Gracie enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ken Shamrock finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Royce Gracie 87%.
Ken Shamrock and Royce Gracie share 1 common opponent: Kazushi Sakuraba.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.