Combat Edge Intelligence

Kendall Grove vs Ricardo Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-19-0Record13-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'6"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Straight Rootless Fight TeamTeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Ricardo Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Kendall Grove carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kendall GroveNow 1588
If they win+13→ 1601
If they lose-11→ 1577
Ricardo AlmeidaNow 1603
If they win+15→ 1618
If they lose-17→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
45%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.20
55%
Strike defense
61%
0.61
Takedown avg.
3.74
63%
Takedown accuracy
38%
57%
Takedown defense
31%
2.07
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Kendall GroveRicardo Almeida
1600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

8 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
10 (42%)
Submission
5 (38%)
6 (25%)
Decision
8 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kendall Grove and Ricardo Almeida within a point of even.

Ricardo Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1603 to 1588, a 15-point edge.

Kendall Grove finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Almeida 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.