Kendall Grove vs Tim Boetsch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-19-0Record21-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'6"Height6'0"
TBDReach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Straight Rootless Fight TeamTeamTeam Irish
What's at stake
Tim Boetsch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Kendall Grove carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1602
If they lose-11→ 1578
If they win+11→ 1642
If they lose-13→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kendall GroveTim Boetsch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim Boetsch54%
Kendall Grove 46%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim Boetsch a 54% favorite over Kendall Grove in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Tim Boetsch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1589, a 42-point edge.
Tim Boetsch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kendall Grove finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tim Boetsch 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.