Combat Edge Intelligence

Kendall Whited vs Paul Kelly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Kelly
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Paul Kelly

“Tellys”

15-5-0WelterweightPMMA

1535Average

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record15-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9" Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight169 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kendall WhitedNow 1529
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505
Paul KellyNow 1535
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.34
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
TBD
Takedown defense
31%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.49

Trajectory

Kendall WhitedPaul Kelly
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
1 (50%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Kendall Whited60%
Paul Kelly 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Kendall Whited a 60% favorite over Paul Kelly in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Kelly's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1535), separated by just 6 points.

Paul Kelly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Paul Kelly 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.