Kendly St. Louis vs Matt Serra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'6"
77”Reach68"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team SunriseTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kendly St. LouisMatt Serra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kendly St. Louis60%
Matt Serra 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kendly St. Louis a 60% favorite over Matt Serra in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Serra's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.
Kendly St. Louis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kendly St. Louis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Matt Serra 64%.
Kendly St. Louis carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.