Kengo Ura vs Tysen Herken
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-13-2Record0-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
IngramTeamIronworks Training Center
What's at stake
Kengo Ura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tysen Herken carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1503
If they lose-13→ 1479
If they win+25→ 1501
If they lose-23→ 1453
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kengo UraTysen Herken
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tysen Herken75%
Kengo Ura 25%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Tysen Herken a 75% favorite over Kengo Ura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kengo Ura's way (48%).
Kengo Ura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1492 to 1476, a 16-point edge.
Kengo Ura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kengo Ura finishes 71% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.