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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kenichi Yamamoto vs Marcio Alexandre Junior

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-12-2Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Power of DreamTeamAstra Fight Team· 1581 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Marcio Alexandre Junior is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Kenichi Yamamoto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kenichi YamamotoNow 1381
If they win+14→ 1395
If they lose-10→ 1371
Marcio Alexandre JuniorNow 1436
If they win+20→ 1456
If they lose-28→ 1408

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.43
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
12.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
39%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
10%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kenichi YamamotoMarcio Alexandre Junior
14001450201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
2 (40%)
Submission
5 (31%)
1 (20%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcio Alexandre Junior72%
Kenichi Yamamoto 28%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Alexandre Junior a 72% favorite over Kenichi Yamamoto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Marcio Alexandre Junior holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1436 to 1381, a 55-point edge.

Kenichi Yamamoto enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kenichi Yamamoto finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.