Kenji Arai vs Vladimir Stanca
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-15-5Record1-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
144 lbsWeight145 lbs
PANCRASEismTeamFantom MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1474
If they lose-12→ 1450
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1491 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vladimir Stanca66%
Kenji Arai 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Vladimir Stanca a 66% favorite over Kenji Arai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1462 vs 1471), separated by just 9 points.
Kenji Arai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kenji Arai finishes 53% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.