Combat Edge Intelligence

Kenji Osawa vs Tariq Ismail

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tariq Ismail
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Tariq Ismail

“Desert Storm”

8-1-0BantamweightPFL

1599Solid

Tale of the tape

20-11-2Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReach67"
134 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kenji OsawaNow 1598
If they win+12→ 1610
If they lose-12→ 1586
Tariq IsmailNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
63%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
68%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.75
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kenji OsawaTariq Ismail
160016502012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
2 (10%)
Submission
0 (0%)
14 (70%)
Decision
7 (88%)

Combat Edge model read

Tariq Ismail63%
Kenji Osawa 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tariq Ismail a 63% favorite over Kenji Osawa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.

Kenji Osawa finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Tariq Ismail 13%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.