Combat Edge Intelligence

Kenneth Alexander vs Tysen Herken

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-6-0Record0-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
154 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

Kenneth Alexander is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tysen Herken carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kenneth AlexanderNow 1494
If they win+15→ 1509
If they lose-17→ 1477
Tysen HerkenNow 1476
If they win+25→ 1501
If they lose-23→ 1453

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.88
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
19%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
67%
Strike defense
TBD
4.71
Takedown avg.
TBD
26%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kenneth AlexanderTysen Herken
1500201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tysen Herken63%
Kenneth Alexander 37%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Tysen Herken a 63% favorite over Kenneth Alexander in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kenneth Alexander's way (47%).

Kenneth Alexander holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1494 to 1476, a 18-point edge.

Kenneth Alexander finishes 71% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.