Combat Edge Intelligence

Kenneth Bergh vs Nell Ariano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record6-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Frontline AcademyTeamPlatinum MMA Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kenneth BerghNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Nell ArianoNow 1637
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1488 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.56
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
75%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
29%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kenneth BerghNell Ariano
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
6 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Nell Ariano79%
Kenneth Bergh 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nell Ariano a 79% favorite over Kenneth Bergh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1637), separated by just 3 points.

Nell Ariano enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Kenneth Bergh finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nell Ariano 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.