Combat Edge Intelligence

Kenneth Bergh vs Sullivan Cauley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record8-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Frontline AcademyTeamDan's Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kenneth BerghNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Sullivan CauleyNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1488 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.56
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
75%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
29%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kenneth BerghSullivan Cauley
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
6 (67%)
Submission
1 (13%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Sullivan Cauley62%
Kenneth Bergh 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sullivan Cauley a 62% favorite over Kenneth Bergh in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kenneth Bergh's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1633), separated by just 1 points.

Sullivan Cauley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kenneth Bergh finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sullivan Cauley 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.