Kenny Cross vs Noah Gugnon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
71"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Michigan Top TeamTeamBulgarian Top Team· 1640 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kenny CrossNoah Gugnon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kenny Cross60%
Noah Gugnon 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kenny Cross a 60% favorite over Noah Gugnon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1672), separated by just 0 points.
Noah Gugnon enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Kenny Cross finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Noah Gugnon 100%.
Kenny Cross carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.