Combat Edge Intelligence

Kenneth Cross vs Scott Holtzman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
71"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Michigan Top TeamTeamShield Systems

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kenneth CrossNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Scott HoltzmanNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.20
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
58%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
55%
Strike defense
55%
1
Takedown avg.
1.88
13%
Takedown accuracy
57%
67%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Kenneth CrossScott Holtzman
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (47%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
5 (29%)
Submission
2 (14%)
4 (24%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Kenneth Cross66%
Scott Holtzman 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kenneth Cross a 66% favorite over Scott Holtzman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.

Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kenneth Cross finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Scott Holtzman 50%.

Kenneth Cross carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.