Combat Edge Intelligence

Kenneth Cross vs Trey Ogden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trey Ogden
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Trey Ogden

“Shamurai”

18-7-0LightweightUFC

1666Good

Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
71"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Michigan Top TeamTeamMarathon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kenneth CrossNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Trey OgdenNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.20
58%
Strike accuracy
50%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.49
55%
Strike defense
56%
1
Takedown avg.
1.89
13%
Takedown accuracy
33%
67%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Kenneth CrossTrey Ogden
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (47%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (29%)
Submission
11 (61%)
4 (24%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Kenneth Cross60%
Trey Ogden 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kenneth Cross a 60% favorite over Trey Ogden in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Trey Ogden's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.

Kenneth Cross finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Trey Ogden 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.