Combat Edge Intelligence

Kenny Florian vs Ollie Sarwa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ollie Sarwa

Ollie Sarwa

“Sweet and”

9-1-0FeatherweightCWFC

1661Good

Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record9-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight139 lbs
Florian Martial Arts CenterTeamForce MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kenny FlorianNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Ollie SarwaNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.41
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
64%
Strike defense
TBD
2.22
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.27
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kenny FlorianOllie Sarwa
1550160016501700200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
8 (57%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (14%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Ollie Sarwa64%
Kenny Florian 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ollie Sarwa a 64% favorite over Kenny Florian in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kenny Florian's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1661), separated by just 0 points.

Kenny Florian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kenny Florian finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Ollie Sarwa 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.